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Thu, Sep 2, 2010 13:00 GMT

PROSPECTS 2010 Q4: International terrorism

Anti-terror police stand guard in front of a shop during a raid in Sukoharjo, Indonesia.

REUTERS/Andry Prasetyo


Terrorist attacks in 2009 fell slightly, a trend which seems to be continuing into 2010. However, the sources of terrorists and location of successful attacks is shifting, both causing new challenges for national counter-terrorism policies and highlighting the weaknesses of international cooperation. Actual and attempted attacks are increasingly carried out by 'home-grown' terrorists, incited from and often trained in safe havens. While attacks will continue, the likelihood of successful mass-casualty attacks in the West is thus declining. However, there is evidence of a growing security gap, with Western security efforts simply displacing part of the threat to weaker, poorer countries.

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