VAPOR Country Risk Ratings

What are the emerging political risks looking into 2020? Access our latest report which presents our Q4 2019 political risk ratings for developed, emerging and frontier markets.

The report, driven by our unique Value at Political Risk system developed in partnership with Willis Towers Watson, reviews the latest ratings changes and provides accompanying insights from our analytical team.


Your quarterly guide to measuring and mapping political risk

In the report:

  • Assessments for developed, emerging and frontier markets
  • A watchlist for critical risks and opportunities in 2020
  • An index of country ratings

About the VAPOR Ratings

Driven by the Value at Political Risk system created in partnership with Willis Towers Watson, VAPOR Ratings offer investors and executives a unique rating based on a 12-month rolling political risk outlook for more than 160 countries.

The ratings anticipate unexpected market and country exposure as well as unpicking headline risk to highlight opportunities for well-prepared organisations. The model assesses 14 industries and five distinct political perils - political violence, expropriation, sovereign default, trade embargoes and capital controls.

Unlike generic political risk scores, each VAPOR Rating reflects a minimum and maximum expected loss due specifically to political risk factors. The VAPOR Ratings are a public-domain adaptation of the Value at Political Risk system which draws on Oxford Analytica’s proven track record of geopolitical analysis and Willis Towers Watson’s experience in modelling risk.