Analysis

We deliver global analysis that gives corporate and government executives a proven edge in predicting the course of key trends - and preparing for contingencies.

The Oxford Analytica Daily Brief®

Through daily dissection and analysis of fresh developments in global politics, macroeconomics and the political economy, the Daily Brief offers qualitative predictions and guidance as to the impact of events.

Proven insight

The rise and fall of Bo Xilai: Our track record

Power struggles between China's leaders have spilled spectacularly out into the open, with the dismissal of Bo Xilai from the Politburo, the arrest of his wife, and the purge of his followers.

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Subscription analysis from the Daily Brief

GREECE: Elections may spark euro exit and contagion

President Karolos Papoulias said yesterday that talks to form a coalition had failed and that the country will hold new elections on June 17.

UNITED STATES: 'Debt ceiling' fears are overblown

House Speaker John Boehner yesterday vowed to block another increase in the federal 'debt ceiling', if there were not larger offsetting spending cuts.

RUSSIA: Strong growth is unlikely to continue

The Federal Statistics Service (Rosstat) released data yesterday indicating that the Russian economy grew 4.92% year-on-year in the first quarter.

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Sample analysis from the Daily Brief

Syriza looks ahead in Greek coalition-forming talks

Coalition of the Radical Left (Syriza) leader Alexis Tsipras has until mid-day Friday t...

US austerity need not undercut strategic primacy

A defence 'austerity crunch' that undercuts US security is unlikely -- even if Obama is...

Turkey shifts sights eastwards as EU relations stall

Turkey has traditionally prioritised relations with Europe, but euro-area stagnation an...

Argentina's YPF expropriation risks long-term damage

The move will hinder efforts to boost hydrocarbons output, raising the risk of continui...

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Conference Calls

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Global Risk Monitor

The Global Risk Monitor tracks the likelihood of our top ten global risks.

Its rigorous and transparent methodology helps businesses and policymakers track emerging risks and measure their impact on geopolitics, macroeconomics and investment in a user-friendly, fully interactive interface.
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detail from the Global Risk Monitor

Pivotal Powers

Pivotal Powers provides a new framework for understanding the fragmented world of geopolitics.

It focuses on Nigeria, Egypt, Iran, Turkey, Mexico and Indonesia – six key countries which will prove key axes of global political and economic power during the next decade.
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Detail from Pivotal Powers Briefing