Analysis

We deliver global analysis that gives corporate and government executives a proven edge in predicting the course of key trends - and preparing for contingencies.

The Oxford Analytica Daily Brief®

Through daily dissection and analysis of fresh developments in global politics, macroeconomics and the political economy, the Daily Brief offers qualitative predictions and guidance as to the impact of events.

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AFRICA: Euro woes inform region's monetary union aims

Closer regional integration, leading ultimately to the AEC, has long been the ambition - indeed, under the Abuja Treaty of 1991, the declared intention - of the member states of the African Union.

IRAN: Tehran will hold firm on nuclear policy

Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei asserted today that Iran will pursue its nuclear programme as the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) described its latest round of talks in Tehran as "disappointing".

US/MIDDLE EAST: Washington's policy dilemmas multiply

US Ambassador to Yemen Gerald Feierstein yesterday said that Washington wants the new government, led by President Abd al-Rab Mansour Hadi, to be free from the influence of outside parties -- including former President Ali Abdallah Saleh.

JAPAN/CHINA: Flare-up over history worries Beijing

Leading Chinese state media outlets today featured front-page coverage of the Nanjing government's suspension of 'sister city' relations with Nagoya, after an incident on Monday in which Nagoya Mayor Takashi Kawamura, meeting a delegation from Nanjing, denied that the 1937 Nanjing Massacre (in which the Japanese army inflicted atrocities on Chinese civilians) took place.

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Sample analysis from the Daily Brief

Politics and population shape house prices in China

China’s housing market will remain under tight control and prices drop further. Yet a co...

Pakistan's Zardari faces battle for survival

President Asif Ali Zardari. Zardari is battling on several fronts to salvage his preside...

Iran's missiles may constrain US threat response

Iranian land-based anti-ship missiles would present a clear danger to both naval and mer...

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Conference Calls

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Global Risk Monitor

Our Global Risk Monitor service monitors our Top Ten Global Risks - our assessment of the most serious and pertinent geopolitical and macroeconomic risks the world faces in the year ahead.
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GRM Risk Radar

Top Ten Global Risks

  • Collapse of growth in China
  • US deflationary trap
  • End of the euro
  • Saudi popular uprising
  • Iran military conflict
  • Pakistan state collapse
  • Russia authoritarian resurgence
  • North Korea regime implosion
  • South China Sea conflict
  • Mexico state capture by cartels

> Top Ten Global Risks in full