Region Heads

Senior network contributors who help steer our analysis

Some 40 senior members of our expert network work in close cooperation with the firm in identifying key themes and framing questions that clients may need to be asking. 

Region heads are leading academics or former senior industry and government practitioners who are abreast of cutting-edge thinking on geopolitical and macroeconomic issues and help keep our in-house team in touch with the latest events, opinions and movements both on the ground and in the influential decision-making institutions around the world.

This dynamic relationship between our in-house Analysts and the wider network is a major contributor to our analytical foresight, and every weekday you can see the relationship in action as Analysts and Region Heads gather at our Morning Conference in Oxford.

Finance & Economics

In-house analyst: Sarah Fowler

Has conducted advisory work for various international agencies, including the OECD, the UN Conference on Trade and Development and UNICEF. Research interests include financial and trade linkages between industrial and developing countries, macroeconomics of Latin America, conflict and reconstruction, and the history of economic thought

Worked in the oil and gas industry for 30 years, including a variety of positions to executive director level in Transco (now National Grid Gas), British Gas and Shell. Since 2002 he has run an independent energy consulting business serving a range of European clients. Recent projects include pipeline regulation, gas storage studies, buyer due diligence on gas infrastructure opportunities, analysis of Russian and CIS oil and gas markets, access to offshore infrastructure, executive training and analysis of energy retail issues.

Former head of the Global Fixed Income and Currency team at Baring Asset Management in London, also holds a D.Phil in Politics from University of Oxford. From 1985 to 1989, worked in Saudi Arabia as an advisor to the Saudi government, and from 1989 to date has travelled regularly on business to Saudi Arabia.

Research interests include the role of capital markets in international and domestic debt management, financial regulation issues and the interaction of fiscal and monetary policy. Formerly a UK senior civil servant and Senior Adviser at the Bank of England, in recent years has advised overseas Governments and financial institutions on a variety of financial and business issues. Strong current interest in the role of banks in economic and financial stability.

Research interests include macroeconomic theory and policy, trade policy, and the economics of education. Previously fellow of King’s College, Cambridge. Member of the Editorial Board of the Cambridge Journal of Economics.

Advisor in international economics and finance, with extensive experience in the private, government and academic sectors, including the European Commission, Swiss Bank Corporation (now UBS) and Princeton University. Formerly Senior Research Fellow at Chatham House and Director of International Economics at Oxford Economics.

Africa

In-house analyst: Benedict Teagarden and Dr Jason Robinson

Specialises in the history and politics of eastern Africa. His most recent book, The Khat Controversy, examines the global expansion of eastern Africa’s khat economy, featuring new research on the production, distribution chains, and consumption of this unusual commodity.

Specialises in work on conflict, development and peace in the Horn, the Sahel, North Africa and the Middle East. He has worked for the UN Development Programme in Iraq, Libya, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan and elsewhere, and on conflict resolution and peacebuilding for the Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue and International Alert. His bookDarfur and the International Community: The Challenges of Conflict Resolution in Sudan (IB Tauris, 2011) won the 2011 Toyin Falola Africa Book Award.

Specialises in South and Southern African economic and business issues. Formerly Associate Research Fellow (Southern Africa), Chatham House, and Associate Senior Lecturer, Department of Economics and Finance, Brunel University. Editor of South Africa in Crisis (Methuen/RIIA, 1987). Author of Economic Interdependence in Southern Africa(Pinter Publishers, 1992), and journal articles on South Africa.

Daniel Branch is a historian and political analyst of Kenya. He is the author and editor of three books on Kenya, including Kenya: Between Hope and Despair, 1963-2012 (Yale University Press, 2012). He is a regular commentator in the press on matters relating to Kenyan politics, written occasional pieces for The Nation and The Standard newspapers in Kenya and for the online editions of Foreign Policy and Foreign Affairs.

Advisor to policy makers in UK, Brazil and Nigeria as well as to Pan-African Parliament and World Bank. Former director of the African Studies Centre at Oxford University. Joint editor of African Affairs, advisor to the African Progress Panel, member of the advisory board of the UNICEF Chair on Communication Research (Africa). Professor Cheeseman’s doctoral thesis was awarded the Arthur McDougall Dissertation Prize for the best dissertation on elections (2008); most recently received GIGA prize for “Rethinking the Presidentialism Debate”.

Interests include public finance, the political economy of development, international economic institutions and the history of economic thought. Directed research in development studies at the universities of Wales, Sussex and Oxford. Served as a Director of the UN Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) and consulted with the National Audit Office, the Department for International Development, the Commonwealth Secretariat, the UN Development Programme (UNDP), the World Bank and many other agencies.

Interests include African politics (particularly West and Central Africa), comparative politics and international political economy, especially in the fields of natural resource extraction, organised crime, state decay and post-conflict reconstruction. Fellow of the Global Public Policy Institute, Berlin. Formerly Austin Robinson Fellow at Sidney Sussex College, Cambridge, and an Associate of the Centre of International Studies, University of Cambridge. Visiting scholar at the Centre d'etudes et recherches internationales (Sciences-Po) in Paris, 2006-07. Joseph C Fox Fellow at the MacMillan Center for International and Area Studies at Yale University. Worked in the field of governance and the energy sector for the World Bank, the European Commission, Catholic Relief Services, the National Democratic Institute for International Affairs (NDI) and the French Ministry of Defence.

Asia Pacific

In-house analysts: Dr Megha KumarBenjamin Charlton and Dr William Arthur

His research focuses on contemporary Islamic political thought in South-east Asia, particularly related to the liberal Islam debates in Malaysia and Indonesia. He also continues to publish articles on the insurgency in southern Thailand.

Specialises in the law and politics of contemporary China, with a particular focus on information technology, innovation and cybersecurity. Runs the Cyber China research programme at the Leiden Asia Centre. Recent publications have appeared in The China Journal and Journal of Contemporary China. Dr Creemers also publishes regularly on China-US Focus and ChinaFile.

Trained in economics, he served at the UK Treasury, in the Prime Minister's office, and as Britain's representative on the boards of the IMF, World Bank and the European Investment Bank. He was permanent secretary in Britain's overseas aid ministry, Director of the School of Oriental and African Studies at the University of London, and President of Corpus Christi College, Oxford. He is an expert on the economies and the politics of Indonesia and Malaysia.

Specialist in contemporary Chinese politics and the political and cultural history of twentieth-century China. Publications include A Bitter Revolution: China’s Struggle with the Modern World (Oxford, 2004), for which he was awarded the title Times Higher Young Academic Author of the Year 2005, and Modern China: A Very Short Introduction (Oxford, 2008). Professor Mitter regularly broadcasts on BBC radio and History Channel documentaries; his essays and reviews have appeared in the Financial Times, History Today, and the London Review of Books.

Specialist in contemporary Japanese politics. Has published a textbook on Japanese politics and books and academic articles on industrial policy and aspects of human rights implementation in East Asia, focusing on patients' and children's rights.

Specialises in the economics of energy in India, including policy on pricing, taxation, and regulation of oil, gas and electricity in India, with extensions to other developing Asian economies. Recent publications have focused on gas pricing reforms in India (in The Pricing of Internationally Traded Gas, Stern, J. (ed)), electricity market reforms (in The Energy Journal and The Evolution of Global Electricity Markets, Sioshansi, F.P. (ed)), energy subsidies (Oxford Energy Forum) and the use of auctions and fiscal regimes in natural resource allocation. Previously a Visiting Fellow at Wolfson College, Cambridge and she has also consulted for international organisations.

Specialises in the modern and contemporary history of India, especially southern India. Has also taught at Harvard and Warwick Universities and at the University of Pennsylvania and has contributed to numerous books and periodicals on South Asia, especially on Indian politics and development. Member of the editorial board of Modern Asian Studies.

Europe

In-house analyst: Dr Michael Taylor and Larissa Brunner

Teaches South-east European politics at St Antony's College. Previously a researcher at the London School of Economics (LSE) and an expert on the EU at the Greek Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Studied at the universities of Athens, Columbia (New York) and the LSE, and has written books and articles on sustainable growth in South-eastern Europe, Greek and Turkish relations, Greece’s position in the Balkans, comparative democratisation in South-eastern Europe, EU-Balkan relations and EU conditionality.

Research focus is on the regulation of bribery and corruption in international business, the associated legal and reputational risks and the impact of this on corporate behaviour. Works also on political corruption and the regulation of political conduct in Europe, and has conducted research in this area for the Organization on Security and Cooperation in Europe, Transparency International, the Open Society Institute and the European Commission. PhD in Politics from the University of Oxford. Prior to her academic career, was a journalist, contributing to The Economist, Financial Times, Business Central Europe and BBC World Service on politics and the economy in south-eastern Europe.

Main teaching interests cover comparative European government, comparative politics, and European integration. Current research focuses on public ethics and the machinery of public integrity enforcement in western Europe.

Professor of European Politics and Foreign Affairs at Kings College London, co-directing the project ‘Europe in Crisis’. Previously Professor of West European Politics and founding Director of the European Research Institute, at the University of Birmingham. Taught for ten years at the University of Oxford (St Antony’s College). Has held positions at the Fondation Nationale des Sciences Politiques, Boston University, Columbia University and New York University. Author and editor of multiple books on the European Union, France and NATO and published widely in the media, including the Financial Times and Wall Street Journal.

Main research interests are IR theory, international institutions, foreign policy analysis, comparative regionalism, contemporary European history, the politics of the European Union, and German politics; has also worked as a journalist for various newspapers, radio, TV and news services.

Formerly British Ambassador to Yugoslavia, Ireland and Italy.

Current research focuses on coalition politics, legislative agenda-setting and pledge fulfilment in European democracies.

Latin America

In-house analysts: Dr Jill Hedges and Philip Paterson

Founder and former Editor of the Oxford Analytica Latin America Daily Brief. Visiting Fellow at the Institute of Latin American Studies, University of London (1997-99). Former Visiting Fellow at Sao Paulo University, Brazil and at the Universidad del Pacifico, Lima, Peru. Was also Lima correspondent for The Guardian and The Economist. Author of Peru under Garcia and Fujimori’s Peru: The Political Economy.

Specialises on the political economy of Latin America with particular concentration on Central America and the Dominican Republic. His research interests focus on the influence of state-society relations on income distribution and long term growth and on the impact of export processing zones on industrial upgrading. He has published papers on these subjects in World Development, the Journal of Latin American Studies and Economy & Society.

Also Official Fellow in Politics, Nuffield College, University of Oxford and Director of the Centre for Mexican Studies, University of Oxford. Author of Democratisation: Theory and Experience and Emerging Market Democracies: East Asia/Latin America. Editor of The Journal of Latin American Studies, 1989-2001, and Oxford Studies in Democratisation, 1996-2003.

Julia Buxton has previously served as department head in the British university system, taught at Kingston University and the London School of Economics and led the Venezuela program at Georgetown University in the Edmund A. Walsh School of Foreign Service. Julia directed the British Council INSPIRE three year capacity building partnership with Fatima Jinnah Women University in Rawalpindi, Pakistan, the UK Foreign and Commonwealth Office Program Using Democracy for Peace and currently convenes the OSF Global Drug Policy Program professional development course on drug policy.  She is a longstanding contributor to the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief and panellist at Oxford Analytica's annual Global Horizons conference.

Middle East / North Africa

In-house analysts: Katerina FytatziDr Laura James and Dr Michael Taylor

Focuses on the modern history of Iran and the wider Middle East. He is the author of Nixon, Kissinger, and the Shah: The United States and Iran in the Cold War (Oxford University Press, 2014) and has written extensively on the history of Iran's foreign relations. Previously served on the strategic planning staff in the Executive Office of the UN Secretary-General; and as a Visiting Fellow at the University of Tehran.

Specialises in work on conflict, development and peace in the Horn, the Sahel, North Africa and the Middle East. He has worked for the UN Development Programme in Iraq, Libya, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan and elsewhere, and on conflict resolution and peacebuilding for the Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue and International Alert. His book Darfur and the International Community: The Challenges of Conflict Resolution in Sudan (IB Tauris, 2011) won the 2011 Toyin Falola Africa Book Award.

Focuses on regional trends in politics and energy. He looks in particular at upstream, downstream and energy policy developments in Iraq, Saudi Arabia and the Arab Gulf states, as well as Iraq/KRG relations with Turkey. Mr Butt was born in the Middle East and has spent most of his working life in the region. A former BBC Middle East Correspondent and editor of Middle East Economic Survey, he is the author of several books on politics and history.

Specialises in culture and politics in the contemporary Middle East and is the author of War and Memory in Lebanon (Cambridge UP 2010) and co-editor of The Politics of Violence, Truth and Reconciliation in the Arab Middle East (Routledge 2009) and Visual Culture in the Modern Middle East: Rhetoric of the Image (Indiana University Press 2013). He currently directs a research group on Secular Ideology in the Middle East and is Review Editor for the Middle East Journal of Culture and Communication. 

Research interests in Iranian history focus on the Safavid period (sixteenth to eighteenth centuries), and the contemporary period (history and politics of the Islamic Republic). He is currently working on a Cambridge History of Modern Inner Asia, on a study of Iranian foreign policy at the turn of the 21st century, and on the place of history in the formation of modern Iranian nationalism.

Current research focuses on literature and the fine arts in Egypt in the 20th century. President of the Academic Council of the Mediterranean Institute of the Humanities and Social Sciences (University of Aix-Marseille). Publications include Sensibilities of the Islamic Mediterranean (I.B. Tauris, London, 2009), which was the culmination of a major research project sponsored by the European Science Foundation. As a Region Head at Oxford Analytica, Dr Ostle has particular responsibility for North Africa, and for Islamist movements throughout the region.

Specialises in the domestic politics and international relations of the modern Middle East, in particular Turkey and the Gulf states. Former Head of the Middle East Programme at the Royal Institute of International Affairs, Chatham House. Also worked as a journalist for the BBC and The Guardian in the Middle East.

Spent 17 years in the UK Foreign and Commonwealth Office, most of it focused on the Middle East and North Africa. He then spent 14 years as Middle East Editor and Deputy Editor of the Daily Brief at Oxford Analytica. He now divides his time between Middle East consultancy work for Oxford Analytica and other clients, and working with various human rights NGOs on international religious freedom issues.

Analyst of politics, economics and business in the MENA region, David has been an associate fellow at Chatham House since August 2012. He was previously regional director for the Middle East at the Economist Intelligence Unit, and prior to that worked for MEED magazine, where he was editor between 2000 and 2002. Chatham House has published his two briefing papers on the Syrian economy, in 2015 and 2016.

North America

In-house analyst: Stephen Nordin

Specialist on the US presidency. Books include The Government and Politics of the United States (Palgrave Macmillan, 1998) and Nixon's Business: Authority and Power in Presidential Politics (Texas A&M, 2005).

Formerly Fellow and Professor of Politics (now Emeritus Fellow) at St John’s College, Oxford, and Lecturer in Government at the London School of Economics. Has also worked at the University of Edinburgh and held visiting positions at Sciences Po, Cornell and Goteborg University. Research interests in comparative public policy, labour market policy, education and federalism. Publications include Separate and Unequal: Black Americans and the US Federal Government (OUP, 1997) and The Liberty of Strangers: Making the American Nation (OUP, 2004).

Visiting Fellow, Rothermere American Institute, University of Oxford. Research interests in US foreign policy, US-Iraq relations, the politics of US nuclear strategy, and the US missile defence system. Author of American Exceptionalism and the Legacy of Vietnam: US Foreign Policy Since 1974 (Palgrave, 2003).

Russia/CIS

In-house analyst: John MacLeod

Specialist on the international relations, foreign and security policies of Russia, Ukraine, Central Asia and the South Caucasus. Broader interests include regional conflicts, regionalism, international norms and foreign policy analysis. Previously Reader in International Relations at the London School of Economics, head of the Russia and Eurasia Programme at Chatham House, and visiting scholar at Moscow State University and the Brookings Institution. Recent publications include Russia, the West and Military Intervention (OUP, 2013), Putin’s Russia and the Enlarged Europe (with Margot Light and Stephen White) (Blackwell, 2006), and Central Asian Security: The New International Context (co-edited with Lena Jonson) (Brookings/Royal Institute of International Affairs, 2001).

Specialist on Russian politics. Particular research interest in Russian constitutional and legislative politics. Recent publications include Legislative Politics and Economic Power in Russia (Palgrave, 2006) and articles in the Journal of Legislative Studies, Legislative Studies Quarterly, Europe-Asia Studies and Party Politics.

Worked in the oil and gas industry for 30 years, including a variety of positions to executive director level in Transco (now National Grid Gas), British Gas and Shell. Since 2002 he has run an independent energy consulting business serving a range of European clients. Recent projects include pipeline regulation, gas storage studies, buyer due diligence on gas infrastructure opportunities, analysis of Russian and CIS oil and gas markets, access to offshore infrastructure, executive training and analysis of energy retail issues.

Specialist on Russian politics and foreign policy. Publications include Leading Russia: Putin in Perspective. Has acted as advisor to the Foreign Affairs Committee of the House of Commons and to major corporations doing business with Russia.

Widely published on Russian political and constitutional issues. Recent publications include Stalinism and the Politics of Mobilization: Ideas, Power and Terror in Inter-war Russia (Oxford, 2007) and 'Stalin as Bolshevik Romantic: Ideology and Mobilisation, 1917-1939' in Stalin: A New History (Cambridge, 2005). Has lived and travelled extensively in Russia.